TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
A Japan NPB regular season baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and Yokohama DeNA BayStars scheduled for June 21, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is determined by the winner of the game scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 at 5:15 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per standard procedures. Tied games resolve at 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who profit by forecasting accurately. This market may offer sharper or more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially if informed bettors have identified mispricings. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's confidence differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and offers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent transaction and pending orders, updating in real time as new trades execute. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that a particular outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest skepticism. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result reported by reliable sports media and league records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Shifts in public betting sentiment, media coverage highlighting player form or matchup dynamics, and any last-minute lineup adjustments can all influence trader positioning. Historical head-to-head records and seasonal momentum may also prompt repricing as the event approaches. Monitor team news and sports commentary for developments that could reshape expectations before the final pitch.