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400,720

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

Volume:
$11,482

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 8:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$2,215
N/A
N/A
$1,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,125
N/A
N/A
$1,888
Settled
No
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,295
N/A
N/A
$1,387
Settled
No
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
$1,383
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct markets related to Japanese professional baseball games. The Kalshi markets focus on the outcome of a specific Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for September 2, 2026, with resolution based on run differentials. The Polymarket market concerns an upcoming Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama BayStars game scheduled for September 6, 2026, resolving based on which team wins or if the game is postponed, canceled, or ties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamentally different underlying events (different teams and dates) creating market scope divergenceHero tip: These markets reference completely different baseball games (different teams and dates). Never assume correlation between them. Resolution depends entirely on the specific matchup for each market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four binary markets for Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game on Sep 2, 2026 resolving based on run differential thresholds: 'win by >2.5 runs', 'win by >1.5 runs'
  • Polymarket: Single outcome market for Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama BayStars game on Sep 6 resolving to team name, postponement, or 50-50 for cancellation/ties
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 6 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the run differential in the Japan NPB game between the Hanshin Tigers and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for Sep 2, 2026. If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each outcome is assessed separately according to the game's final score.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars matchup aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction markets, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes. It displays current probabilities, trading volume, and recent movements, letting users monitor consensus views and shifts in sentiment as the event approaches. This cross-platform view helps you see how the market evolves and compare expectations between venues.