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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$22,081

Over 5.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 8:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,024
N/A
N/A
$7,516
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,082
N/A
N/A
$1,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,816
N/A
N/A
$2,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Hanshin Tigers and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on combined run totals. The core event is identical, but the market structures and resolution criteria diverge significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different settlement values from the same NPB game. Polymarket resolves on game winner (binary); Kalshi resolves on combined run totals (four separate thresholds). Kalshi also contains a labeling error (College Baseball vs. NPB professional).Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are correlated or hedging instruments. Polymarket winner outcome is independent of Kalshi run-total outcomes. Confirm Kalshi's league classification with the platform before the game begins, as the College Baseball label contradicts NPB professional status.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner resolution. Resolves to Hanshin Tigers or Yokohama BayStars based on game outcome. Ties and cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: Official NPB information and credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Four independent over/under markets on combined run totals (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5 runs). Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. Mislabeled as College Baseball despite NPB professional league designation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total runs scored by both teams in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers game on July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs at four distinct run thresholds: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with resolution to Yes if the combined team score exceeds the specified threshold. The official game result as recorded by the governing league determines the final run total used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds for the Hanshin Tigers vs. BayStars matchup. Traders on both venues price outcomes based on team performance, recent form, injury reports, and historical head-to-head records. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each community values the same event, revealing consensus strength and identifying where disagreement exists. Combined volume across venues reflects overall market interest in this matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly through supply and demand. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more efficient consensus when traders have strong information or expertise. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to professional risk management. Comparing both sources helps you spot value and understand where the broader market stands on this matchup.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent win-loss streaks, and head-to-head historical trends. Weather conditions and home-field advantage can shift trader sentiment. Major league standings and playoff implications may influence how seriously each team plays. Media coverage and expert predictions often trigger repricing as new analysis reaches traders. Late-breaking lineup adjustments or coaching decisions can spark sharp moves. Monitor team social media, sports news outlets, and betting market activity for signals that could reshape odds before the final pitch.