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405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$38,143

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 8:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,696
N/A
N/A
$1,452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,213
N/A
N/A
$910
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,133
N/A
N/A
$3,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Hanshin Tigers and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a binary winner-take-all market, while Kalshi offers multiple run-differential markets with varying thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on binary game winner, while Kalshi resolves on run-differential thresholds. A single game outcome can satisfy one market but not the other.Hero tip: These markets are NOT interchangeable. A 1-run Tigers victory resolves Polymarket to Tigers (winner pays) but resolves all four Kalshi markets to No. Verify which market structure matches your prediction before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Hanshin Tigers if Tigers win, Yokohama BayStars if BayStars win. Postponements keep market open; cancellations or ties resolve 50-50. Source: official NPB information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Four run-differential markets with Yes/No outcomes. Yes if Tigers win by >2.5 runs, Yes if Tigers win by >1.5 runs, Yes if BayStars win by >1.5 runs, Yes if BayStars win by >2.5 runs. All four resolve No for 1-run margins or ties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 20 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final run differential in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers game scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Four separate markets assess whether Hanshin Tigers wins by more than 2.5 runs, Hanshin Tigers wins by more than 1.5 runs, Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by more than 1.5 runs, or Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by more than 2.5 runs. The run differential is calculated as the absolute difference between final scores, with the outcome determined by which team achieves the specified margin of victory.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Hanshin Tigers vs. BayStars matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, showing real-time consensus on the game's outcome. Traders on both venues place stakes based on their expectations, and the combined volume reflects market confidence in different scenarios. You can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges—team injuries, weather, recent form, or lineup changes—all in one view. This cross-platform perspective helps you spot where the broader prediction market community stands on this matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs directly—prices reflect what participants actually think will happen, without a built-in house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because traders here have different information, time horizons, or risk appetites. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be highly accurate, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against conventional betting lines.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury updates, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day can significantly affect play, especially in baseball. Trading volume and sentiment shifts on Polymarket and Kalshi themselves can signal new information spreading through the prediction market community. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action on external sportsbooks may also influence trader behavior here. Watch for any late-breaking news about player availability or tactical changes that could reshape expectations before the first pitch.