TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 4:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Hanshin Tigers and Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their baseball game scheduled for September 23, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Hanshin Tigers and Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their NPB game scheduled for September 23, 2026, exceed one of several predefined thresholds: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the total runs meet or surpass any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of offensive performance in the game. The event is independent of the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the total runs scored. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game conditions. It's common to find opportunities where prediction market prices offer an edge compared to sportsbook odds, though this isn’t guaranteed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total run scenarios for the Hanshin Tigers versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total runs scored. The market efficiently aggregates information from a wide range of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Hanshin Tigers versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the total runs scored and thus the winning contract in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available, independently verified data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hanshin Tigers or the Tokyo Yakult Swallows would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location are also a significant factor, as rain or wind could affect scoring. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups and recent team performance can shift market sentiment. Even late-breaking news about team strategies or manager decisions could impact trading activity and the overall price of this market.