TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows: Spread
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows: Spread

Volume:
$7,352

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 9:40 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,016
N/A
N/A
$3,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,368
N/A
N/A
$1,183
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,134
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The result depends solely on the final score of the game as scheduled.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for September 22, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: the Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 2.5 runs, the Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 1.5 runs, the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs. whichever condition is met first will determine the resolution, with each representing a separate criteria for a 'Yes' outcome. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NPB championship market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different outcomes are changing in real-time, as well as review past price movements to understand market sentiment. Currently, the total volume for this market is $7,352, with $5,979 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of market activity, allowing you to monitor the flow of information and potential shifts in expectations regarding the spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hanshin Tigers versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game, specifically whether the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by over 1.5 runs. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also shift market sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or managerial decisions might also play a role. Overall team form and head-to-head records will be closely watched as the event draws nearer, potentially leading to substantial movements in the market as new information becomes available.