TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$84,789

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,733
N/A
N/A
$33,270
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,919
N/A
N/A
$28,488
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball match outcomes involving the Hanshin Tigers. One market references a specific game against the Yomiuri Giants scheduled for August 12, 2026, while the other references a game against the Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for August 18, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope misalignment - Kalshi references a game against Yomiuri Giants while Polymarket references a game against Tokyo Yakult SwallowsHero tip: These markets resolve based on completely different games. Never treat them as equivalent. Verify the specific opponent and date for each market before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants game scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 - Yes if either team wins that specific game
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for August 18 at 5:00AM ET - resolves to team name or 50-50 for tie/cancellation
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 18 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If Hanshin Tigers wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Yomiuri Giants wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hanshin Tigers vs. Yakult Swallows matchup aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $84,789, and 24-hour volume of $82,858 across venues like Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives you a consensus view of market sentiment and lets you see how expectations shift as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might have more traders focused on Japanese baseball, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue has its own fee structure and minimum trade sizes, which can influence how traders place bets and, consequently, the visible probabilities. These dynamics often lead to distinct price discovery across the two platforms.

Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, or sudden shifts in team performance can all influence this market. Weather conditions, playoff implications for either team, and even recent head-to-head performance may cause traders to adjust their bets. As new information emerges closer to the game, expect volatility in pricing, especially on platforms with lower volume, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants.