TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Hanshin Tigers and Hiroshima Toyo Carp in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and Hiroshima Toyo Carp, scheduled for August 15, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate resolution condition. If the combined runs scored by both teams exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity within the same game, with higher thresholds representing more stringent conditions for a 'Yes' outcome. All markets are independent, and the governing body or league has no official affiliation with the event operator. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the implied probability of each outcome. The current top chance reflects collective expectations among participants about the likely run total in the game. Volume and recent price action on the platform offer insight into market confidence and potential shifts in sentiment leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game will be used to determine whether the total runs fall above or below the market's specified threshold, bringing closure to all open positions at that time.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and pitching changes can all influence expectations for total runs and shift this market. Additionally, broader narrative shifts such as team performance trends or changes in betting sentiment may cause price fluctuations. Traders should watch injury reports, weather forecasts, and in-game performance updates as the match approaches.