TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 7:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Hanshin Tigers and Hiroshima Toyo Carp in their college baseball game scheduled for August 14, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single matchup.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the specified college baseball game. Each threshold represents a distinct condition where the combined runs must exceed a set number for the corresponding market to resolve positively. All markets share the same underlying game and date, but each applies a different run total criterion. The resolution hinges solely on the actual run count from the game, with no external factors influencing the outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of expected run totals compared to traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and betting patterns. While sportsbooks may set a line based on historical averages and analyst projections, prediction markets can adjust more quickly to new information, such as pitcher changes or weather updates that could affect scoring.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price based on their expectations for the total number of runs scored. The current implied chance of the 'Over' outcome is reflected in the market price, which adjusts dynamically as new bets are placed and information emerges that could influence the final run count in the game.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game will determine whether the total runs fall above or below the specified threshold, closing the market and settling all positions accordingly.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, changes in starting pitchers, and any in-game events such as early scoring bursts or pitching changes. Each of these factors can alter trader expectations about the final run total, causing price fluctuations leading up to Aug 14, 2026.