TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how much one team outperforms the other, with different thresholds defining various possible results. The event captures the competitive balance between these two teams in a specific matchup.
The event determines whether either the Hanshin Tigers or Hiroshima Toyo Carp win the game originally scheduled for August 14, 2026, by a margin exceeding specified run thresholds. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Hiroshima winning by over 2.5 runs, Hiroshima winning by over 1.5 runs, Hanshin winning by over 1.5 runs, and Hanshin winning by over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The event is based solely on the final score of the game as played, with no adjustments for cancellations, forfeits, or other irregularities. Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp betting patterns. While sportsbooks may set a static spread based on historical data and public betting trends, prediction markets adjust dynamically. Traders can exploit discrepancies between the two, especially when analyst predictions or recent team performance suggest a potential edge.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score, specifically whether Hiroshima Toyo Carp’s victory margin exceeds 2.5 runs. No additional interpretation or external calculation is needed beyond the publicly recorded result.