TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
Another Japanese baseball contest will determine whether one team secures a victory with a particular run advantage. Fans and analysts will watch closely to see if the Hanshin Tigers or the Chunichi Dragons dominate the game by the required margin.
Similar to the first event, this market encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios for the Hanshin Tigers vs Chunichi Dragons game on August 27, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 runs but not more than 2.5 runs. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. As with the previous event, only the market matching the actual run differential will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The secondary rules again emphasize the platform's lack of official connection to the league and the ownership of trademarks by respective entities.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven view of team performance and game dynamics compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on analysis and betting action, prediction markets update continuously based on real-time trader sentiment, potentially offering sharper or differently priced insights into the expected run differential.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their bids and offers, which are aggregated to determine the current odds. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects collective trader expectations for the spread result, with liquidity and volume influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, matching the market’s defined criteria for resolution without additional interpretation or external data sources.