TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth
polymarket
kalshi

Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Volume:
$175,754

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 8:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Greuther Furth

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,321
N/A
N/A
$9,724
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hannover 96

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannover

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,970
N/A
N/A
$8,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,255
N/A
N/A
$20,511
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) match between Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with overlapping but structurally different outcome definitions. The core question is whether the markets will resolve consistently when the match concludes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time outcome and use identical primary sources (official Bundesliga statistics), with only minor differences in cancellation edge-case handling that do not affect normal match resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
  • Three possible outcomes: Hannover 96 win, SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, or draw
  • Polymarket offers three separate binary markets: draw (Yes/No), Fürth win (Yes/No), Hannover win (Yes/No)
  • Kalshi offers a single categorical market covering all three outcomes
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No; Kalshi outcome market resolves Yes for the tie outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and a final result is determined
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket treats cancellation as a draw (draw market Yes, win markets No). Kalshi treats cancellation as a tie outcome (market resolves Yes). Both approaches yield consistent practical outcomes for traders.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If Bundesliga does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms fall back to consensus from credible sports reporting sources
  • Scope: Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; resolution is based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 8, 2026), with official statistics expected within 2 hours; markets settle within 2-4 hours of match end if official data is available, or up to 24 hours if credible reporting consensus is requiredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.