TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$168,606

Wolfsburg

 - Kalshi

Wolfsburg - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 9:08 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wolfsburg

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$90,338
N/A
N/A
$34,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karlsruhe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,512
N/A
N/A
$40,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,735
N/A
N/A
$16,630
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannover 96

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Karlsruher SC

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first in the upcoming match between Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC. The aggregated consensus probability favors Hannover 96 to score first with 65.5%, while Karlsruher SC has a 29.5% probability. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official match statistics. Watch for the match on September 4, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market definition divergence where Kalshi resolves based on a completely different match (Karlsruhe vs Wolfsburg) rather than the Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC matchHero tip: Do not trade these markets together as arbitrage opportunities since they resolve to different events. Focus only on Polymarket for the Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC first goal outcome

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on Karlsruhe vs Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 match outcome on Aug 29, 2026: "If Karlsruhe wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Wolfsburg wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie... then the market resolves to Yes"
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC match on Sep 4, 2026: "This market will resolve to 'Hannover 96' if Hannover 96 are the first to score... 'Karlsruher SC' if Karlsruher SC are the first to score... 'Neither' if neither team scores within 90 minutes plus stoppage time"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hannover 96" if Hannover 96 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Karlsruher SC" if Karlsruher SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Karlsruhe vs Wolfsburg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Karlsruhe wins, the 'Karlsruhe' market resolves to Yes. If Wolfsburg wins, the 'Wolfsburg' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It shows how trader sentiment shifts as the match approaches, highlighting which team is favored to score first and capturing overall market interest through volume of $168,606. This view lets users compare expectations and spot trends before the first whistle, with data updated continuously to reflect new bets and price movements in the short_topic.