TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC
polymarket
kalshi

Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC

Volume:
$373,796

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,291
N/A
N/A
$30,117
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC)

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hannover

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92,810
N/A
N/A
$33,907
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannover 96

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Karlsruher SC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karlsruhe

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,901
N/A
N/A
$23,421
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Hannover 96 versus Karlsruher SC soccer match on September 4, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as recognized by the Bundesliga, will serve as the resolution source. With a small 0.1% probability assigned to a Hannover 96 win, market participants should monitor the starting lineups announced closer to September 4, 2026, for any indications of team strategy.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves 'Yes' for any outcome while Polymarket uses three separate markets with outcome-specific resolutionsHero tip: Be extremely cautious with Kalshi's market as it pays out regardless of actual result — this creates fundamental divergence with Polymarket's outcome-specific markets

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Hannover win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Karlsruhe win (Yes/No), all based on exact match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves 'Yes' if Hannover wins OR Karlsruhe wins OR match ends in draw — essentially paying out for any completed match result
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026 between Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Hannover vs Karlsruhe professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Hannover wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Karlsruhe wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price.