TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Yunchaokete Bu will advance against Kamil Majchrzak in their Hangzhou Open tennis match, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Hangzhou Open: Completed Match: Yunchaokete Bu vs Kamil Majchrzak”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match outcome following the scheduled start time of 10:00PM ET on September 25, 2026, as that will determine resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Kamil Majchrzak in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a player, they can buy 'yes' shares, driving up the price and potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Hangzhou Open match. The current volume traded is $598,680.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hangzhou Open match between Yunchaokete Bu and Kamil Majchrzak, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player as determined by the official tournament results will dictate the settlement of this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on available evidence and established tournament rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could quickly move the odds, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Hangzhou Open match.