TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton
- Polymarket
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Valentin Royer will advance against Adam Walton in their Hangzhou Open tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton winning the match. Resolution will be determined by the official scores reported on the ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be known immediately following its completion.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Adam Walton in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Adam Walton. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Valentin Royer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as new information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the Hangzhou Open tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hangzhou Open tennis match between Valentin Royer and Adam Walton, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares in the winning outcome will pay out according to their final price at resolution. This allows traders to benefit from accurately predicting the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in form for either player, could also drive movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.