TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Jake Delaney in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Jake Delaney in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to the latest developments and insights regarding the Daniel vs Delaney match. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the result.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the qualification match between Taro Daniel and Jake Delaney at the Hangzhou Open. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for winning shares once the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed bettors could indicate a change in sentiment, causing the price to move accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 29, 2026.