TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Kamil Majchrzak in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Kamil Majchrzak in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to odds on Polymarket that are more accurate, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may factor in biases or profit margins not present in a decentralized prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current volume indicates strong interest in this match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hangzhou Open match between Mattia Bellucci and Kamil Majchrzak, as reported by official tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential protests or disputes will be resolved according to the official tournament rules, and the final, official result will determine the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Hangzhou Open match might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, could drive price movements on Polymarket. Any late-breaking news or developments related to either player will likely have an impact on this market.