TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 9:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Adolfo Vallejo in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Adolfo Vallejo in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or perspectives not fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event begins, as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current price indicates the market’s collective forecast for the Hangzhou Open tennis match, and is driven by supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Hangzhou Open tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official tournament data to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Hangzhou Open tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in overall market expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.