TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Coleman Wong in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Coleman Wong. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Coleman Wong in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Coleman Wong. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust the price based on new information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply variations in how each source assesses the probabilities of various outcomes in the Medvedev vs Wong match. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Medvedev vs Wong match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand, offering a real-time view of market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Medvedev vs Wong match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Daniil Medvedev or Coleman Wong, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Medvedev vs Wong match.