TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional cricket match between Hampshire and Sussex, reflecting the competitive dynamics of the County Championship. The result depends solely on which team officially wins the match as determined by the governing body. Various scenarios such as ties, cancellations, or insufficient play are handled with specific resolution guidelines.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Hampshire vs Sussex men's professional County Championship cricket match scheduled for September 24, 2026. If Hampshire wins, the Hampshire market resolves to Yes, and the Sussex market resolves to No. Conversely, if Sussex wins, the Sussex market resolves to Yes, and the Hampshire market resolves to No. In cases where no official winner is declared—including ties, draws, no results, abandonments, cancellations, forfeits, disqualifications, concessions, or insufficient play—all markets resolve to $0.50. This ensures fair resolution across all possible match outcomes and contingencies.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment changes. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors than traditional sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Hampshire vs Sussex match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hampshire vs Sussex match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score or result, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions impacting the match, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or key player form could also drive trading activity. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both Hampshire and Sussex will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.