TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of a soccer match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds.
The event resolves based on the total goals scored by both teams within the regulation time of the match, which includes 90 minutes of play and any added stoppage time, but explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout periods. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. If the cumulative goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the pricing of this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often show different implied probabilities because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can react faster to new information. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuances or expectations not fully captured by sportsbook odds, leading to variations in implied chances. The difference can also stem from the way each market aggregates participant input—sportsbooks set their lines based on expert analysis and risk management, while this market is driven collectively by buyer and seller activity.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after regulation time will determine whether the over or under hits the specified goal threshold, closing the market based on official match results.
Several developments could shift expectations for this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key influences include injury reports for star players, tactical changes by coaches, recent form and performance trends, and weather conditions on match day. High-profile betting patterns or significant media coverage may also sway trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any last-minute roster updates or strategic announcements could cause rapid adjustments in pricing. All these factors will be closely watched by participants shaping the market’s trajectory in the days leading up to the final whistle.