TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This Europa League soccer match between Hammarby and Anderlecht on July 23, 2026 will be evaluated based on the goal differential during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). The outcome depends on which team wins and by how large a margin.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties) of the Hammarby vs Anderlecht Europa League match scheduled for July 23, 2026. Separate markets assess whether Hammarby wins by more than 2.5 goals, Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals, Anderlecht wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Anderlecht wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves independently based on the actual goal differential achieved during the specified time period.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set spreads to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction about the Hammarby-Anderlecht spread, which can differ meaningfully from sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's expectation diverges from bookmaker pricing, though both incorporate similar underlying information about team form, injuries, and matchup dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts tied to the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of pending orders at each price level. As match details, team news, or betting sentiment shift, traders adjust their positions, moving the midpoint price up or down. Your entry and exit prices depend on the liquidity available at the time you trade, so checking the order book helps you understand the true cost of entry or exit.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Hammarby-Anderlecht match concludes and the final regulation-time score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the goal differential at the end of normal playing time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. Your position settles based on whether the actual spread matches the contract terms you held. Until that moment, you can trade your position at any time, allowing you to lock in profits, cut losses, or adjust your exposure as new information emerges.
Several catalysts can shift this market meaningfully before Jul 23, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and travel or weather conditions can also sway trader positioning. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal conviction about the spread, prompting others to adjust. As match day approaches, final team sheets and pre-game commentary typically drive late volatility. Monitoring sports media, official team communications, and order-book depth helps you anticipate and react to these moves.