TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hammarby IF and Kalmar FF, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hammarby IF" if Hammarby IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kalmar FF" if Kalmar FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Hammarby IF and Kalmar FF, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hammarby IF" if Hammarby IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kalmar FF" if Kalmar FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to published sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on which team is more likely to strike first. These differences can signal value or highlight information asymmetries.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the market price reflects the collective belief about which team scores first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds show the relative probability assigned to Hammarby IF and Kalmar FF by active traders. As new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or tactical shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous auction mechanism ensures the market price incorporates available information in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Hammarby IF versus Kalmar FF match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Early or disallowed goals are evaluated according to standard football rules, ensuring accuracy. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions promptly.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive absences, which can shift expectations about attacking prowess and defensive vulnerability. Tactical announcements or lineup leaks may reveal formations that favor early pressing or defensive solidity. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage at the venue can all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and referee assignments sometimes affect early-game momentum. As match day nears, late-breaking updates on player availability typically trigger sharp price movements in this market.