TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hammarby IF and Degerfors IF, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hammarby IF" if Hammarby IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Degerfors IF" if Degerfors IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Hammarby IF and Degerfors IF, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hammarby IF" if Hammarby IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Degerfors IF" if Degerfors IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow traders to discover prices through supply and demand. For this market, prediction market participants may price in real-time team news, injury updates, or tactical shifts that sportsbooks adjust more slowly. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue perceives edge relative to the other, though both aim to reflect underlying match probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new orders flow in, with the current odds reflecting the marginal trade. Participants profit by correctly predicting which team scores first, and losses occur when their position moves against them. The platform's pricing model ensures transparent, real-time discovery of consensus expectations without intermediaries setting fixed lines.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Early resolution may occur if one team scores before the scheduled end time, locking in the winner immediately. Traders should monitor team lineups and any last-minute changes that could influence early-game momentum and scoring likelihood.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements affecting key forwards or defenders, and recent form trends for both sides. Tactical shifts, such as a manager opting for aggressive or defensive setup, can significantly alter early-game dynamics and scoring probability. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and head-to-head historical patterns also influence trader positioning. Real-time momentum during the opening minutes may trigger sharp repricing as live data confirms or contradicts pre-match expectations.