TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:36 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 23 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 23 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus without a built-in house edge. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can push prices closer to true probabilities over time. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or disagreement on likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information arrives and traders adjust positions. The cost to buy a share reflects the current implied probability of an outcome, and that price updates instantly as the order book shifts. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without intermediaries setting fixed lines.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match records, confirmed through established sports reporting channels. Traders holding positions on the correct outcome receive their payout automatically when resolution is triggered. Until that point, prices remain live and responsive to any news or developments that might influence expectations.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements—can shift prices significantly as traders reassess competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings often influence sentiment before a fixture. Weather conditions, venue factors, and travel logistics may also trigger repricing if they affect expected performance. As match day nears, late-breaking developments like lineup confirmations or injury updates typically drive the most volatile price swings in this market.