TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the upcoming UEFA Europa League match between Hammarby Fotboll and RSC Anderlecht, scheduled for July 23, 2026, will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Polymarket, Limitless, Predict, and Kalshi. The market resolves based on official match results and specific cancellation rules outlined in the resolution source. Watch for the match result on July 23, 2026, as this will determine the final settlement.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between Hammarby Fotboll and RSC Anderlecht.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Hammarby vs Anderlecht Europa League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Hammarby win, Anderlecht win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between Hammarby Fotboll and RSC Anderlecht.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction markets and sportsbooks both reflect probability estimates, but they operate under different incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, whereas prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds emerge from thousands of individual bets rather than a bookmaker's model, often capturing real-time sentiment shifts faster. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where crowd wisdom diverges from professional oddsmakers—sometimes prediction markets lead, sometimes they lag. Both data sources are useful for building a complete picture of match expectations.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user demographics, fee structures, and market design can cause price divergence even when tracking the same event. Kalshi and Limitless may attract traders with different information sets or risk tolerances, leading each venue to price the outcome slightly differently. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge between platforms, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both prices helps you identify when one platform is pricing the match more optimistically or pessimistically than the other, signaling potential value.
Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will likely drive price movement before kickoff. Weather conditions at the stadium, referee assignments, and any last-minute tactical shifts can also influence trader sentiment. Historical head-to-head records and European competition pedigree matter in cup matches, so any pre-match analysis circulating on social media or sports outlets may sway odds. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours as bettors lock in positions, so watch for late-breaking news that could trigger sharp moves. Monitor both platforms simultaneously to catch arbitrage opportunities as new information flows in.