TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Hamilton and Pacific face off in a Canadian Premier League soccer match on July 16, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Hamilton vs Pacific professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for July 16, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event encompasses three mutually exclusive outcomes: Hamilton victory, Pacific victory, or a tie. If the game ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Traders betting on this market may have sharper information or different risk assessments than the general sportsbook clientele, leading to price differences. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value relative to traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays efficient and responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public sources. All positions will settle based on the verified result of the matchup. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. After resolution, winning positions are paid out and losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts that could shift this market include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Coaching decisions, weather conditions on game day, and any late-breaking news about player availability will likely trigger repricing. Public betting patterns and sharp-money flows into one side can also accelerate momentum. Traders monitor sports news outlets and team social media closely for any developments that might alter the matchup dynamics before the final whistle.