TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the exact final score of the Bundesliga match between Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig scheduled for March 1, 2026. Polymarket offers 18 specific score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers three binary outcome markets (Hamburg win, Leipzig win, or Tie). Both resolve based on the 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time result, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical temporal scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and defer to official governing body statistics with identical fallback logic for postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Bundesliga governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based solely on the final score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded from resolution
- Polymarket resolves to specific score outcomes or 'Any Other Score' catch-all; Kalshi resolves to Hamburg win, Leipzig win, or Tie based on the final score
- If the match is postponed, both markets remain open until the match is completed
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket resolves to '0-0' and Kalshi resolves to the Tie outcome
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed. Resolution occurs after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket resolves to '0-0'; Kalshi resolves to Tie (Yes). This is the only scenario where a default score is assigned.
- Official statistics delay: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as the resolution source.
- Any Other Score (Polymarket only): Polymarket's 'Any Other Score' outcome captures all final scores not explicitly listed among the 17 specific score combinations, ensuring complete coverage.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Official statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, consensus reporting is used. Postponed matches remain unresolved until rescheduled completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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