TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hamburger SV and 1. FSV Mainz 05, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hamburger SV and 1. FSV Mainz 05, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, tends to aggregate diverse perspectives and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see odds shift on Polymarket as the event approaches and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, if any, scores the first goal in the first half of the Hamburger SV versus Mainz 05 match. The official match records will be used to verify the result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players on either Hamburger SV or Mainz 05, or changes in weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also play a role. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as any significant events impacting the teams’ morale or motivation, could lead to fluctuations in trading volume and price adjustments on Polymarket. A late surge in betting activity could also move the market.