TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets include point spreads at various thresholds (-1.5, -2.5 goals), total goals over/under lines (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and a both-teams-to-score market. Resolution is based on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution criteria: official bundesliga.com final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50 split), and fallback to credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics published on bundesliga.com; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Spread markets (HSV -1.5, HSV -2.5, Köln -1.5, Köln -2.5) resolve based on goal differential: HSV wins spread if they win by the specified margin or greater; Köln wins spread if they win by the specified margin or greater; otherwise the opposing team's spread resolves Yes.
- Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined goals: Over resolves Yes if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold; Under resolves Yes if combined goals fall below the threshold.
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if both HSV and Köln each score at least one goal; resolves No if either team scores zero goals.
- All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs once the match is played and official final score is published.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled.
- Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed, resolution is based on the official final score published by Bundesliga for the portion played, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Official Stats Delay: If Bundesliga does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after the match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting from established sports news sources.
- Goal Differential Thresholds: Spread markets use strict goal differential thresholds: -1.5 requires a 2+ goal margin, -2.5 requires a 3+ goal margin. A 1-goal win does not satisfy either threshold.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Bundesliga final score is published (target within 2 hours post-match). Markets remain open if match is postponed. If official stats are delayed beyond 2 hours, credible reporting consensus may be used for immediate resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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