TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
For the Hamburg versus Mainz Bundesliga fixture scheduled for September 6, 2026, this event determines if both sides will find the back of the net at least once throughout the 90 minutes of play plus any additional stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Hamburg and Mainz both score a goal in the Hamburg vs Mainz Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to speculative positioning and lower liquidity, especially with volume at $35,381. Traders may see wider spreads or sharper shifts compared to sportsbooks, influenced by real-time betting patterns and market depth. The dynamics here can diverge significantly, offering alternative perspectives on match outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with market depth and recent trading activity influencing how the odds shift leading up to the match. Volume of $35,381 provides insight into trader interest and liquidity.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether both Hamburg and Mainz score at least one goal during the match, as recorded by official match reports and widely accepted sports news sources.