TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Sumit Nagal in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Sumit Nagal in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and house margins, this market's odds are driven purely by user bets. The difference often results in more volatile pricing as traders react to new information. For example, a shift in player form or injury news can cause rapid changes in this market's probability, whereas sportsbooks typically adjust more conservatively. Understanding both perspectives can provide a clearer picture of market expectations for the Hamburg tennis match market.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting who wins the Hamburg tennis match market. No additional interpretation or subjective judgment is required — the market settles based on straightforward, publicly available results from the match itself.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 17, 2026. Player injuries or changes to the lineup would immediately impact odds, as would significant performance shifts in lead-up tournaments. Weather conditions affecting match play, especially if a decisive set is delayed, can also cause volatility. Media reports about player confidence or strategic adjustments may influence trader sentiment, while any last-minute withdrawals or substitutions would dramatically reshape expectations for this market's final outcome.