TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group contains two distinct sports markets: a Club Friendlies football match between Toulouse FC and Hamburger SV, and a tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller in Hamburg. The football markets focus on match outcomes, spreads, and goal totals, while the tennis market focuses on match winner and completion status.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Jan Kumstat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. On Polymarket, traders set prices based on their own research and community sentiment, which can create tighter spreads or sharper movements. Meanwhile, sportsbooks incorporate additional factors like public betting patterns and house margins, often resulting in wider spreads. For this market, comparing the two can reveal where the crowd-sourced analysis diverges from institutional lines, potentially highlighting value opportunities or sentiment extremes.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key fighters’ injuries, changes in training camp performance, and pre-fight media events often influence trader sentiment. Betting trends on either platform can also create momentum swings, especially if one fighter gains sudden popularity. Additionally, any last-minute updates — such as coaching changes or strategy reveals — may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket and Predict as the fight draws nearer.