TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Halmstads BK and Vasteraas SK, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Halmstads BK" if Halmstads BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vasteraas SK" if Vasteraas SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Halmstads BK and Vasteraas SK, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Halmstads BK" if Halmstads BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vasteraas SK" if Vasteraas SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges or as large positions move the order book. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines more slowly and include a built-in profit margin, whereas prediction markets are peer-to-peer and purely driven by supply and demand. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public sees value or where informed traders are concentrating capital.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by placing limit and market orders on an automated market maker or order book, with each outcome represented as a separate contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the cumulative belief of all active traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome falls. Settlement occurs when the event concludes, and winning positions are paid out in full while losing positions expire worthless, creating a direct incentive for accurate pricing.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match between Halmstads BK and Vesteraas SK concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the fixture is cancelled; otherwise, traders must wait for final confirmation before payouts are processed.
Team news such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players can significantly shift odds, as can lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may trigger rapid repricing. Late-breaking tactical changes, referee assignments, or venue factors can also sway the market as traders reassess the probability of each team scoring first.