TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 4:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks various outcomes and statistics from an upcoming Allsvenskan soccer match between Halmstads BK and IK Sirius. The current consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5), is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics published on allsvenskan.se. The key catalyst to watch is the match itself, scheduled for August 3.
More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for August 3 at 1:00 PM ET.
If Halmstad and Sirius both score a goal in the Halmstad vs Sirius Allsvenskan match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often showing sharper or more volatile odds than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets reflect a decentralized consensus that can diverge from sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information flow. For example, trader sentiment may shift quickly on news, while sportsbooks adjust more gradually. This can create pricing inefficiencies that appeal to sharp bettors and traders looking for edges between the two systems.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differing user bases, liquidity levels, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform may have deeper volume in certain outcomes, pushing its implied probability away from the other. Also, each venue has its own fee structure and open interest, which influences how traders place bets and where the market ultimately sets its price.