TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Martin Landaluce in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Martin Landaluce in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like Polymarket are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement about likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the current price reflecting the collective assessment of match probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market uses an automated market maker model where prices adjust continuously based on trading activity. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates throughout the prediction window.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official winner of the Halle Open match between these two players. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is published by authoritative sports sources. Traders should monitor the event closely as the date approaches to ensure they understand the exact resolution criteria and any potential edge cases.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before the match takes place. Recent player form, injury announcements, head-to-head records, and court surface performance history all influence trader sentiment. Tournament draws and seeding changes may reveal new information about opponent strength. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action on traditional sportsbooks can signal shifting expectations. Closer to the event date, warm-up match results and player statements often trigger repricing as traders update their confidence in each competitor's chances.