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Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz
kalshi
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz

Volume:
$189,082

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5

 - Polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 24.5 games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,360
N/A
N/A
$6,172
Settled
No
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 29.5 games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,967
N/A
N/A
$2,967
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 19.5 games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,617
N/A
N/A
$1,612
Settled
No
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz at the 2026 ATP Halle Open (Round of 32), scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets track both match completion status and match winner outcome, with additional Kalshi markets on total game count thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket distinguishes between match completion (normal play only) and match winner (includes retirement/default advancement), while Kalshi game-count markets do not explicitly address incomplete matches or forfeits. This creates potential for different outcomes across platforms if the match does not reach normal completion.Hero tip: Monitor match status closely. If the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in a walkover before play begins, Polymarket resolves both markets to 50-50 or NO. If the match begins but a player retires/defaults, Polymarket's Completed Match resolves NO while Match Winner resolves to the advancing player. Kalshi game-count markets lack explicit guidance on these scenarios—clarify with Kalshi whether partial game counts from incomplete matches trigger YES resolution. Avoid assuming symmetry across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Completed Match): Resolves YES only if all games and sets are completed through normal play. Resolves NO for any forfeit, retirement, walkover, cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Primary source: official ATP Tour statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Polymarket (Match Winner): Resolves to advancing player if match begins but is incomplete due to opponent retirement/default/disqualification. Resolves 50-50 for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or walkover before start. Primary source: official ATP Tour information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi (Game Count Thresholds): Resolves YES if completed games exceed 19.5, 24.5, or 29.5. No explicit handling of forfeits, retirements, walkovers, or incomplete matches. Ambiguity exists on whether partial game counts from incomplete matches satisfy threshold conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of completed games in the full match between Andrey Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz at the 2026 ATP Halle Round of 32. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell pressure from participants risking real capital. This market reflects what informed traders believe will happen, often incorporating faster-moving information and sharper analysis than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds may include deeper liquidity and professional oddsmaker expertise, so comparing both sources can reveal valuable discrepancies.

Key catalysts include player injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, court surface conditions, and weather forecasts on match day. Betting action from professional syndicates and sharp money often signals shifting expectations. Tournament seeding, player motivation, and rest days between matches also influence odds. Real-time updates during warm-ups or practice sessions can trigger sharp repricing. Monitor sports news outlets and player social media for announcements that might shift trader sentiment before the match begins.