TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The two teams face off in a soccer match where advancement is determined by the aggregate result of the tie. The outcome depends entirely on which team progresses after potential extra time or penalties, not just the initial 90 minutes.
The market resolves based on which team advances from the Hajduk vs Zalgiris Vilnius Conference League Qualification Round 3 tie. If Hajduk advances, the 'Hajduk advances' market resolves to Yes. If Zalgiris Vilnius advances, the 'Zalgiris Vilnius advances' market resolves to Yes. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets aggregate beliefs from a diverse group of participants. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market expectations and potential value opportunities for this market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually place bets that directly set the market price based on supply and demand dynamics. The current chance percentage reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants about which outcome is most likely. As new data about team performance, injuries, or weather conditions surfaces, traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift accordingly. This decentralized pricing model captures a wide range of opinions and insights.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the final score or declared winner. After the game ends, the platform will finalize the market based on authoritative news sources and official league records to ensure an accurate settlement for all participants.
Key signals such as player injuries, coaching changes, or recent form can significantly impact this market. Weather conditions, disciplinary actions, and tactical adjustments may also shift trader sentiment. As these developments unfold, bettors will reassess their positions, potentially causing noticeable swings in the odds. Staying informed about any last-minute news or performance trends will help anticipate market movements before the event concludes.