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Haiti vs. Scotland - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Haiti vs. Scotland - First Team to Score

Volume:
$163,859

Scotland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 9:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scotland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,331
N/A
N/A
$25,000
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Scotland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Haiti

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,591
N/A
N/A
$22,042
Settled
No
polymarket

Haiti

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,642
N/A
N/A
$14,801
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first team to score in a Haiti vs. Scotland FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team (if any) scores first during the match, with three possible outcomes: Haiti, Scotland, or Neither.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope differs between platforms. Polymarket excludes extra time; Kalshi includes it. This creates a potential resolution divergence if a goal is scored in extra time.Hero tip: If you hold positions on both platforms, note that a goal in extra time will resolve differently. Polymarket will resolve to Neither while Kalshi will resolve to the scoring team. Plan hedges accordingly and monitor live match updates during extra time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal must occur within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration. If no goal in regulation + stoppage, resolves to Neither. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
  • Kalshi: First goal can occur at any point during the entire game including regulation, stoppage, and extra time periods. The market structure appears to resolve Yes for any team that scores first (Scotland Yes, Haiti Yes, Neither Yes are three separate markets), covering the full match duration.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Haiti and Scotland, scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Haiti" if Haiti are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Scotland" if Scotland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team records the first goal during the Haiti vs Scotland FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, counted throughout regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If Haiti scores first, that market resolves Yes; if Scotland scores first, that market resolves Yes; if no goal is scored in the entire match, the No Goal market resolves Yes. If the first goal is an own goal, resolution is based on the team awarded the goal. Exactly one outcome will resolve Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks and often reflect different risk appetites and trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with minimal intermediation. For Haiti vs. Scotland - First Team to Score, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity, participant expertise, and real-time price discovery. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and retail traders disagree on first-goal probability.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to key forwards or defenders, official lineups released before kickoff, and recent form or head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and referee assignments can also shift first-goal probabilities. Live match events—early chances, tactical adjustments, or early cards—will drive real-time repricing on Polymarket and Kalshi. Trader sentiment and late money flow into one outcome over another can also move odds significantly in the final hours before the match begins.