TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Two national soccer teams compete in an international friendly match scheduled for June 2, 2026. The event tracks the margin of victory, measuring how decisively one team defeats the other during regulation time.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs continuously. The Haiti vs New Zealand spread on Kalshi may move faster or wider than sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors that traditional books have not yet reflected.
On Kalshi, the Haiti vs New Zealand: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the actual margin of victory falls within or outside a specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of the outcome. The contract settles based on the final score differential. Prices adjust in real time as new trades occur, so early movers and late traders may see different entry points depending on order flow and market depth.
The Haiti vs New Zealand: Spread market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the match. The outcome depends on whether the actual point or goal differential matches the spread condition embedded in the contract. Once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on that result. Traders should monitor official match results and any potential delays or disputes that could affect final settlement timing.
Key catalysts for the Haiti vs New Zealand: Spread include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any official updates on venue or conditions. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side can also shift odds significantly. Media coverage, expert predictions, and public sentiment may influence retail traders. Close to kickoff, late-breaking news such as lineup confirmations or weather changes can trigger sharp repricing. Monitor team social media and sports news outlets for developments that could alter market expectations of the final margin.