TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Haiti and Costa Rica. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Haiti vs Costa Rica professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or incorporate information more quickly than traditional bookmakers. Observing these differences can be insightful for both novice and experienced bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Haiti vs Costa Rica match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match—including any own goals—will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data and sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Haiti or Costa Rica would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on team form or tactical changes. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, even those unrelated to on-field performance, can sometimes influence trading activity and cause price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.