TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Haiti concedes at least one goal before the 20th minute mark (1' to 19' incl.) in the Morocco vs Haiti FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." All goals officially credited to Morocco count toward this total, including regular goals, own goals by Haiti players, and penalty goals. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 24, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to “NO.” If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Haiti concedes at least one goal before the 20th minute mark (1' to 19' incl.) in the Morocco vs Haiti FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." All goals officially credited to Morocco count toward this total, including regular goals, own goals by Haiti players, and penalty goals. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 24, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to “NO.” If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader consensus and real money at stake. Sportsbooks may move lines faster in response to sharp money, whereas prediction markets can be slower to react if liquidity is thin. For early-match events like an early concession, sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads, but prediction markets may capture longer-tail sentiment that traditional oddsmakers overlook.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Haiti versus Morocco match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome hinges on whether Haiti concedes a goal in the opening 20 minutes of play. If Haiti concedes during that window, the affirmative outcome wins; if the match reaches the 20-minute mark without Haiti conceding, the negative outcome prevails. Resolution occurs after match officials confirm the final scoreline and timing of all goals.
Several factors could shift odds before kickoff and during the early stages of play. Team news—such as injuries to key defenders or goalkeepers—can significantly alter early concession risk. Lineup announcements and tactical formations revealed shortly before the match often trigger repricing. Once play begins, early attacking pressure, set-piece opportunities, and defensive errors in the first 20 minutes will drive rapid price swings. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends may also influence trader positioning. Live goal events or near-misses will cause sharp moves as the 20-minute threshold approaches.