TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 11:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Haiti and New Zealand (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, the Haiti and New Zealand 4+ cards outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that combined cards will reach or exceed four. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the final payout determined by match resolution. The price discovery process incorporates real-time information about team discipline records, referee tendencies, and competitive intensity. As the match date approaches, Limitless pricing typically tightens around consensus expectations, though sharp traders may identify mispricings relative to historical card rates for these nations.
This market resolves on Jun 4, 2026 following the conclusion of the Haiti versus New Zealand match. Resolution is determined by the official final card count—yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined. The outcome settles to YES if the total reaches 4 or more cards, and NO if fewer than 4 cards are issued. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for card data used in settlement.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury status, as aggressive or defensive squad compositions shift card risk. Referee assignment announcements matter significantly, since different officials have distinct card-issuance patterns. Recent disciplinary records for both nations—particularly suspension history and yellow-card accumulation—influence market pricing. Pre-match news about tactical intensity, rivalry context, or player feuds can shift sentiment. Weather conditions and pitch quality reported closer to kickoff may affect play style and foul likelihood. Real-time match events such as early fouls, aggressive challenges, or heated exchanges will drive sharp repricing in final minutes before kickoff.