TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Guy Den Ouden in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Guy Den Ouden. This market will resolve to 'Guy Den Ouden' if Guy Den Ouden advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Guy Den Ouden in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Guy Den Ouden. This market will resolve to 'Guy Den Ouden' if Guy Den Ouden advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and lower overheads. While sportsbooks may incorporate their own margins and adjustments, this market reflects the collective wisdom of participating traders. The gap can reveal mispricings or shifts in sentiment, especially as new information emerges closer to the fight.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official outcome of the fight, and the market will close accordingly to reflect the confirmed winner.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 12, 2026. Key updates like fight cancellations, injury reports, or changes to the venue can dramatically alter implied probabilities. Media appearances, betting trends, and analyst commentary also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any last-minute developments will likely cause sharp price swings.