TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 8:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Lorenzo Giustino in Hagen will exceed 2.5 sets, currently showing 100.0% probability on Polymarket, with settlement based on official ATP Tour results. The match, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, will conclude by August 12, 2026, and that date is key to watch for the final resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Lorenzo Giustino in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders submit bids and asks, creating a dynamic odds curve. The current top-outcome chance reflects aggregated trader expectations, adjusted for available liquidity and recent trading volume of $605,672. This structure allows rapid price adjustments as new match developments emerge.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will settle based on the officially recorded winner, closing all positions according to Polymarket's standard rules for sports event resolution.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, weather delays, or changes to the match format. Betting volume spikes ahead of key points or after major breaks may also influence odds. Traders should monitor Polymarket for sudden price movements tied to real-time updates from the tournament venue and official match commentary.