TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 8:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Jamie Mackenzie in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Jamie Mackenzie. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Jamie Mackenzie advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Jamie Mackenzie in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Jamie Mackenzie. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Mackenzie' if Jamie Mackenzie advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced view of fighter prospects because they incorporate real-time trading by participants who can react quickly to new information. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, may lag slightly and incorporate broader market considerations. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal shifts in sentiment or early signals of changing perceptions about the fighters' chances.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s outcome — win by knockout, submission, judges’ scorecards, or other confirmed result — and will be reflected automatically once the data is publicly confirmed.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates or last-minute changes to the fight’s parameters, shifts in media coverage or analyst commentary, betting trends from large traders, and any official pre-fight announcements. Each new piece of credible information may cause rapid re-pricing as participants adjust their expectations about the fighters’ relative chances.