TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 2:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Liga Leumit league. The result will be determined based on the performance of the teams within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. Any extended play such as extra time or penalty shootouts does not affect the outcome of this market.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 10, 2026, between H. Rishon Lezion and Hapoel Kiryat Yam. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for H. Rishon Lezion, a win for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw within the specified time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially associated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, breaking news, and shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Rishon Lezion vs Kiryat Yam match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rishon Lezion vs Kiryat Yam match, as reported by official sports authorities. The market will determine which team won the match, or if the match ended in a draw, based on the official scoreline. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely impact the odds. Furthermore, updates on team form, recent match results, and even weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as red cards or early goals, would also have an immediate effect on the market.