TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor
Volume:
$197,146
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Göztepe SK and Alanyaspor scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Göztepe win, draw, and Alanyaspor win. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES both for actual draws and for complete cancellations with no make-up game. Kalshi does not address cancellation scenarios in its market descriptions, creating ambiguity in edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Traders should be aware that if the match is canceled without a make-up, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while its win markets resolve NO, creating potential arbitrage or hedging complications. Kalshi's cancellation handling is undefined and may require manual intervention. Verify match status through TFF.org (Turkish Football Federation) before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Göztepe win (YES if Göztepe wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw OR if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Alanyaspor win (YES if Alanyaspor wins, NO otherwise). Postponements keep markets open; cancellations with no make-up resolve draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Resolution source: TFF.org official statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three separate markets covering all outcomes: Göztepe win (YES if Göztepe wins), Alanyaspor win (YES if Alanyaspor wins), Tie (YES if draw). Each market resolves YES only if that outcome occurs. Cancellation and postponement handling is not explicitly defined in the provided descriptions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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