TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Gwangju and Jeju SK, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Gwangju vs Jeju SK Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific margin of victory: Gwangju winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gwangju winning by more than 1.5 goals, Jeju SK winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Jeju SK winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and risk management, prediction market participants directly price the outcome through buying and selling contracts. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger discrepancies depending on trader sentiment, especially with $6,452 in 24-hour volume shaping rapid shifts in perception.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and offering of contracts that represent possible point differentials. The current implied spread reflects the ratio of ‘yes’ to ‘no’ contracts, adjusted for market depth and available volume. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or tactical announcements — these prices can move quickly, driven purely by participant activity on Kalshi without influence from external venues.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will be compared against the defined spread to determine which side of the market is correct. No internal platform mechanisms or arbitrary decisions are involved — the result follows publicly confirmed match statistics.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or shifting weather conditions could all shift expectations for the point differential and move this market. Additionally, strong early performance in related matches, media narratives, or updates from official team channels may influence trader sentiment. With $6,452 in 24-hour volume, any credible news can cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities before Jul 26, 2026.